Day: February 8, 2006

  • U.S. Officials Meet Iraq Insurgent Groups

    Perhaps we are looking at the beginning of the end game in Iraq.

    U.S. officials have met figures from some Sunni Arab insurgent groups but have so far not received any commitment for them to lay down their arms, Western diplomats in Baghdad and neighboring Jordan said Wednesday.

    […]

    The meetings, described as being in the initial stage, have not included members of al-Qaida in Iraq or like-minded religious extremists, the diplomats said on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject.

    Contacts have taken place in western Iraq, Lebanon and the United Arab Emirates, according to two diplomats based in the Jordanian capital, Amman. One of them said talks might shift to Egypt “at some point.”

    U.S. officials have said establishing a dialogue with the insurgents was difficult because of the lack of a unified command structure among the various groups and the absence of a leadership capable of speaking for most of them.

    Lt. Col. Barry Johnson, a U.S. military spokesman in Baghdad, said the United States is involved in talks on promoting Iraq’s political process with “all sorts of groups,” but declined to say if any insurgents were among them.

    However, a Western diplomat in Baghdad who is familiar with the dialogue said the U.S. was reaching out to “Sunni Arab nationalists” and “some Islamists from the Shiite and Sunni sides,” many of whom have grievances about jobs and reconstruction money.

    “We hear all the time that they are interested in coming in but we haven’t seen signs,” the diplomat said. “We want to see attacks stopped. The question is, can they help end the violence if they want to join.”

    Please note that I am not saying that success in Iraq is close or even a certainty. That would be quite a statement in the face of political scene where the likes of Gold Star mom Cindy Sheehan have their words and deeds selectively reported and the doom-laden calls for retreat by Congressman Murtha (D-Penn.) are trumpeted while the pronouncements of progress by Senator Joseph Lieberman (D-Conn.) barely register a blip on the radar.

    That said, this may be the first step in seperating the men from the boys … errr … the actual Iraqi insurgents from the radical Islamist terrorist bastards. Realize that the domestic Iraqi holdouts have witnessed large parts of their homeland enthusiastically embracing democracy and have become disgusted with their supposed Islamist terrorist allies’ tactics of murderously targeting innocent Iraqi civilians. Oh yeah, they have also seen a lot of their insurgent brethren getting shredded by Coalition troops they cannot truly engage, as well as improving and growing Iraqi security forces. With a wedge already developing between the insurgent and terrorist facets of our enemies in Iraq, it is only sensible that the U.S. would work to further drive home that wedge in the hopes of reducing our opponents by means other than bullets. While it is at yet uncertain any benefit for the Iraqi people and the Coalition will come from these efforts, certainly there is no foreseeable harm in the maneuver.

    If Iraq can actually come to grips with its domestic insurgents, embracing them and isolating the truly blood-craved Islamist terrorists, then this may indeed by the opening moves of a lengthy end game. After all, as much as the anti-war opponents and large portions of the media have tried to paint the picture of another Viet Nam, one key difference has never been overcome: the war in Nam was, post-Tet, fought primarily against a regular military of an outside force backed, supplied and heavily maintained by a global superpower. That is certainly not the case in Iraq. That has never been close to being the case in Iraq.

  • Hamas Offers Deal if Israel Pulls Out

    A key Hamas figure is talking about a lengthy truce with Israel. Of course, there are a few key catches.

    Hamas yesterday offered a long-term ceasefire if Israel withdraws from all land occupied in 1967.

    The announcement by Khaled Meshaal, one of Hamas’s most senior leaders, was its clearest policy statement since winning the Palestinian general election last month.

    Mr Meshaal was speaking before a crucial Hamas meeting in Cairo on how the Islamist movement will form the new Palestinian government. While he promised a possible “long-term ceasefire” he refused to commit the organisation to a full renunciation of violence, which is demanded of Hamas by the international community and Israel.

    Its charter warns that Israel faces elimination by Islam and calls for holy war or jihad against non-Muslim claimants of Palestine.

    Mr Meshaal said he wanted to send a message to the Israeli government that Hamas would be ready to talk if Israel met conditions that included a withdrawal to the 1967 boundaries. Hamas would then “possibly give a long-term truce with Israel”, he said. Others have suggested a 10- to 15-year truce.

    All the Israelis have to do is completely withdraw to their strategically-disadvantageous borders they held before their success in the 1967 Six-Day War. Oh yeah, in return, Hamas offers nothing that they can be trusted to actually manage. Ummm … I’m thinking no.

    This was the crystallisation of several, often ambiguous, remarks made by Hamas’s senior members since the election and represented a clear bargaining position.

    Hamas will hope the international community puts heavy pressure on Israel to leave the occupied territories.

    Well, I wouldn’t hold my breath on that international pressure thing — for lo! these many years, that same pressure has failed to force Israel to leave the occupied territories and failed miserably to get Hamas to recognize Israel or swear off violence.

    Israel regards Hamas as a terrorist organisation and has vowed not to deal with any Palestinian government set up by the group after its unexpected election victory.

    As well it should, as Meshaal’s further statements demonstrate.

    Mr Meshaal sounded a more strident note in other remarks that were made public yesterday, refusing to drop Hamas’s call for armed resistance against Israel.

    “We will not stand against the resistance, we will not condemn any operation and will never arrest any mujahed [holy warrior],” he said.

    “Anyone who thinks Hamas will change is wrong.”

    That certainly sounds like a truce offer that can be trusted.

    I’ve a better idea for Israel — withhold funds until Hamas cracks under the financial strain. Then, after Hamas is forced to come to the table with some real acquiescence on recognition and violence, provide them with support until Hamas, like Fatah before them, become rife with corruption while failing to bring peace and prosperity to the Palestinian people. Lather, rinse, repeat until the Palestinians have a leadership ready to move forward. That is, if they ever do.

  • U.S., Russia, Germany Cancel Afghanistan Debt

    Smart move all around.

    Afghanistan on Wednesday hailed decisions to cancel the impoverished country’s debts to the United States, Russia and Germany, but the country likely will remain dependent on foreign aid as it recovers from decades of war.

    Afghanistan owed $108 million to the United States and $44 million to Germany from loans before the 1979 Soviet invasion. Russia claimed it was owed about $10 billion from loans to a puppet communist government in the early 1990s.

    “After 30 years of devastation, we are starting from nothing and any move such as this helps the reconstruction of Afghanistan,” said Khaleeq Ahmed, a spokesman for President Hamid Karzai.

    The Bush administration said Tuesday it will forgive the entire debt, following a similar pledge from Russia on Monday and from Germany at a donors’ conference last week.

    Even with the loans forgiven, Afghanistan looks set to remain reliant on years of foreign aid. More than 90 percent of the government’s $4.75 billion budget in 2005 was financed by international donors, and Karzai has said his government will need propping up for about a decade.

    The International Monetary Fund’s representative in Afghanistan, Joshua Charap, said that even by 2010, Afghan government revenues are expected to cover less than two-thirds of total expenditures.

    Charap said the removal of the foreign debt would allow Kabul to “normalize its credit rating,” paving the way for new loans.

    Nearly a third of government spending this fiscal year has been on its new army and police amid rising crime and the Taliban-led insurgency. The hard-line Islamic militia was ousted from power in 2001 by a U.S.-led invasion.

    This poor nation, ravaged and rent by strife since the days of disco, needs all the assistance possible in succeeding, and the three countries forgiving debt are all safer with a peaceful Afghanistan.