Category: Middle East

  • Iraqi Cadre to Begin Training Enlisted

    There’s been a remarkable step in the development of the self-sustainability of Iraq’s new security forces — the Iraqis have taken over the training of their NCOs.

    The latest cycle of Iraqi troops graduated from the Iraqi Army Noncommissioned Officer Academy here, about 45 miles south of Mosul on July 25.

    The class was the last of a series taught by U.S. instructors from the 11th Field Artillery Regiment.

    The latest Iraqi NCOs will now return to their units as trained leaders, while Iraqi cadre at the academy prepare to take full responsibility for future training here.

    “The (Iraqi) cadre … are charged with training Iraqi NCOs in the new millennium and beyond,” said Staff Sgt. Edwin R. Sanchez, who has taught at the Academy with his fellow Soldiers for the past year.

    The instructors, including four Iraqi cadre members, taught a three-week leadership development course which included traffic control point procedures, clearing buildings, drill and ceremony, physical fitness training, hand-to-hand combat, ethics and other skills similar to what American Soldiers learn in their courses.

    Sgt. Maj. Walter Murrell, a member of the U.S. training team, gave his last graduation remarks as commandant of the NCO Academy.

    “Teamwork is fundamental to what this country is trying hard to achieve,” he told the graduates.

    Murrell asked the Iraqi Soldiers to remember and apply what they learned, especially when leading a team of Iraqi Soldiers into a dangerous area.

    “You are the lifeblood of your nation, and you must never forget that,” said Murrell.

    “It was an honor to serve side by side with you. When the history books are written, you will be the heroes of the republic.”

    Sgt. Maj. Farhan, the new Iraqi commandant with the 2nd Iraqi Army Division, said the graduates will be the foundation from which to protect Iraq’s democracy and freedom. He also thanked the academy’s instructors for their work.

    “The role of the instructors is clear as sunshine … By doing a great job to train these Soldiers, the instructors deserve to be known as the heroes of the academy,” said Farhan.

    Hat tip to CDR Salamander, who chimes in with the following:

    You want a sign of success and hope? This is it. A professional NCO corps is the bedrock to any successful military. Even more than solid Senior Officers, without professional NCOs, you have nothing.

    Yes, this truly is a good signal of progress. In the past, I have been one of many who have complained that the good news from Iraq and Afghanistan gets ignored by the mainstream media while any bad news is heralded with a clarion call and then drilled into the public with a repeated dirge of failure. One cannot really blame the military, as they try to get the news out to the world. This should be a big story — ’tis a shame once again that, to date, the media have collectively elected to ignore it.

  • Osama Tape: Reactions and Rejections

    A new tape from terrorist-mastermind-in-hiding, Osama bin Laden, surfaced yesterday.

    Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden urged his followers to prepare for a drawn-out conflict with the Western world in a new audiotape broadcast Sunday, blaming what he called “a Crusader-Zionist war” for a long list of attacks on Islam in places from Darfur to Denmark.

    “Your aircraft and tanks are destroying houses over the heads of our kinfolk and children in Palestine, Iraq, Afghanistan, Chechnya and Pakistan. Meanwhile, you smile in our faces, saying: ‘We are not hostile to Islam; we are hostile to terrorists,’ ” bin Laden said, according to excerpts of the audiotape attributed to him and broadcast by the al-Jazeera network.

    It was the first time bin Laden had been heard from since Jan. 19, when he offered “a long-term truce” if the United States and its allies withdrew their forces from Iraq and Afghanistan and allowed Islamic fundamentalists to rebuild those countries instead.

    Before that, the 49-year-old Saudi had been publicly silent for more than a year. His face has not been seen since he appeared in a video recording broadcast a few days before the 2004 U.S. presidential election.

    The Counterterrorism Blog‘s Walid Phares does a solid job of narrowing Osama’s ramblings down to ten key bullet points. Of course the overblown Islamist talking point of the Danish Mohammed cartoons is on the list, as are the following:

    1. Hamas: Despite the fact that we (including Ayman Zawahiri) warned (Muslim Palestinians) not to take part in elections in general, the victory of Hamas shows that there is a “Crusader Zionist War against Islam.” Cutting foreign aid to the Palestinians because of Hamas victory proves that war.

    […]

    3. Sudan: The Bashir Government is failing in stopping the Crusader War in Sudan. The Crusaders (Britain) has pushed the southerners (Blacks) to separate. The US has armed them and is supporting them. And now, because of tribal tensions in Darfour, the Crusaders are planning on intervening there. We are calling on the Jihadists to fight them in Darfour and Southern Sudan.

    Today, Sudan and Hamas rejected Osama’s accusations.

    The Sudanese Government and Hamas have rejected Osama bin Laden’s criticism of the West for waging war against Islam.

    In a tape broadcast on al-Jazeera TV, which US intelligence believes is authentic, bin Laden criticised the Sudanese Government for agreeing to a US-backed peace deal for the troubled south of the country.

    He also inveighed against the Palestinians’ Hamas-led Government for breaking what he said was a taboo against “joining infidel assemblies” and entering Parliament.

    Despite moves taken by Sudan and Hamas that might be seen as in step with Washington’s stated goal of peace and democracy for the region, bin Laden said the US was planning to send troops to southern Sudan “to steal its oil”.

    The West’s rejection of Hamas showed it was waging “a Crusader-Zionist war” against Muslims.

    […]

    A Hamas spokesman said: “We are interested in good relations with the West.” In Sudan, a Foreign Ministry spokesman said Sudan was not concerned with mujahideen or any crusade.

    Polimom, Too‘s Daryl Hooper looks at these and other negative reactions from the world of Islam after making the following observation:

    Perhaps Polimom’s missing something (won’t be the first time), but from where I’m sitting this morning, the biggest reaction to Osama bin Laden’s latest tape is from the West. Polimom wonders whether Osama has spent just a tad too long in his cave – because he’s looking somewhat out of step.

    Besides the obligatory Crusader references and unsurprising cartoon squawking, Osama had to mention Israel. I mean, he just had to — it’s in the radical Islamist handbook. This time, though, Chad Evans over at In the Bullpen fears there may be more than just hot air and checking off an Osama-tape requirement behind this Israel reference.

    This latest audio tape is in a long line of Al Qaida communications that speak about Israel, but the group has always treated the Israeli situation like a red headed step-child only pulling it out when it needs support. As I have stated in regards to previous communications pertaining to the increased rhetoric over Israel, I think Al Qaida is making inroads into attack Israel and I think their first real hit will be a large one. We already know Al Qaida is in Gaza, and AQ in Iraq did launch a rocket into Northern Israel. Because the Hamas-run government won’t do anything about it, AQ will likely hit Israel. The group needs the support such an attack would garner.

    Here’s hoping Chad is wrong about this, though unfortunately it does pass the sniff test. And that dovetails in nicely with my initial reaction to the tape — Osama has seen the focus in the war against radical Islamist expansionism shift away from him as events of late have elevated the stories of Hamas’ attempt to take the political reins of the Palestinian Authority and Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Iraq recently appears to have been a break-even, as the terrorists, Saddamites and insurgent Sunnis plod along (hat tip to the western media who have facilitated this appearance) against the fledgling Iraqi government, its Coalition military allies, a determined American president and an majority of the Iraqi people growing sick of the bloodshed.

    As I have often stated, our war is against far more than Osama bin Laden; rather, it is against the twisted aspects of his civilization that allowed his likes to fester. Osama, however, needs the concentration to be on him, meaning the both attentions of the West and the world of Islam, for the war to be the brand of jihad he desires. Of late, his organization has been unable to pull off anything of substance, and even the lesser accomplishments have only been small but bloody strikes by affiliates such as Abu Musab al-Zarqawi that, while effective in many western news reports, may be actually backfiring locally. No, bin Laden built his biography on fighting the great fights, be they as part of the efforts against the Soviets in Afghanistan or dramatic strikes against the United States. A large stab at Israel might suffice to rekindle Osama’s importance in the Islamist world and return the war to the jihad of his choice … until Iran counters.

  • Fatah-loyal Media Taking Hamas to Task

    It seems that common ground may actually exist between Hamas, the terrorists and newly-elected leaders of the Palestinian Authority, and the administration of President Bush, as Hamas now finds itself facing an antagonistic domestic media.

    Never mind the icy winds blowing from the West. The Hamas government’s toughest detractors have popped up at home, criticizing the Islamic militant rulers in Palestinian newspaper cartoons, TV commentaries and radio talk shows.

    Most of the Palestinian media are loyal to the Fatah Party, defeated in January parliament elections, and Hamas is getting increasingly upset about the unflattering coverage. Such friction between the government and the media is rare for the Arab world.

    The Hamas government has proven an easy target. It’s broke and internationally isolated because of its refusal to moderate its hard-line views, and has been unable to pay the salaries of tens of thousands of government employees.

    Hamas remains defiant, claiming it’ll be able to govern without Western aid by persuading Arab and Muslim countries to step in – an assertion ridiculed in the Palestinian media.

    A cartoon in the Al Ayyam daily lampooned Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh, who told a rally Palestinians would rather live on bread with olives, hyssop and salt than bow to Western demands. The cartoon showed a Palestinian with an empty shopping basket standing before bank cash machines labeled olives, salt and hyssop. He called his wife and, waving his bank card, asked what she wanted for dinner.

    Bassem Abu Somayeh, head of the Palestinian Broadcasting Corp., wrote in a recent newspaper commentary that the Hamas government must step down.

    And on the private Hurriyeh radio station, commentator Muafaq Mattar suggested sarcastically that Hamas officials who headed to Iran to plead for money bring back Iranian caviar.

    “The Palestinian media is clearly biased against Hamas,” complained Mahmoud Ramahi of Hamas, secretary-general of the Palestinian parliament. “What they are doing is not monitoring or criticizing. What they are doing is inciting against Hamas, in the interest of Fatah.”

    Pro-Fatah journalists say they are giving equal treatment to all politicians and that Hamas is simply frustrated because it cannot control the media.

    “It’s only because they (Hamas) can’t impose their agenda on us, they say we are inciting,” said Mohammed al-Dawoudi, a senior official in the Broadcasting Corp., which runs the Voice of Palestine radio, Palestine TV and the official Wafa news agency.

    For now, Fatah and its moderate leader, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, seem to have the upper hand – in part because Abbas took control of the Broadcasting Corp. by decree after the election.

    […]

    “The Palestinian media is dominated by Fatah and the main writers are either Fatah or leftists, so it is natural to see the media opposing Hamas,” said Nashat al-Aqtash, a communications professor at Bir Zeit University. “The Palestinian media is now launching a campaign against the Hamas government.”

    Ramahi, the Hamas politician, said he no longer grants interviews to the Voice of Palestine morning news show. “The presenters are biased against us,” he said. “They talk to us in order to trap us, bringing someone from Fatah afterward to criticize us without giving us a chance to respond.”

    Like Bush, Hamas does have some friendly elements in the media. Unfortunately, whether by fear or shared perceived enemies, Hamas would seem to have a greater chance of improving its coverage. I have little faith in a very large portion of the American media to actually realize where our enemies truly reside in the time remaining for the Bush administration. Or any time soon after that.

  • Iran’s Signalling in the Gulf

    Over the last week, Iran has been conducting military exercises in and around the Persian Gulf region and has issued claims of tested leaps in military technology. The message is obvious: think twice, Great Satan. This Pakistan editorial agrees.

    On Wednesday, Iran tested a high-speed underwater missile called Hoot (fish) which it claims is the fastest in the world at 360 kilometres per hour and can avoid sonar (sound navigation ranging) detection. If the claim is correct then Hoot is three or four times faster than an average torpedo, and as fast as the world’s fastest known underwater missile, the Russian-made VA-111 Shkval, developed in 1995. Some experts think Hoot may be the reverse-engineered Iranian version of the VA-111.

    The missile test is the second within a week of the exercises conducted by the Iranian army and navy in the Persian Gulf. Last Friday Iran claimed to have successfully test-fired Fajr-3 a domestically produced, radar-evading missile. No information was given on the missile’s specifications (range etc) but US sources described it as a 240 mm artillery rocket with a 40-kilometre range, one of a group of light rockets Iran has developed mainly for tactical use on the battlefield.

    Is Iran signalling to the US? The answer is yes. Statements indicate that Iran wants to show its defensive capabilities at a time when the US-Iran standoff is heading up the escalatory ladder. Here are the facts.

    The United States is bent upon preventing Iran from developing a nuclear capability. Iran says that it is not developing a weapons capability but that it will not relinquish its right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty to enrich uranium. But the issue is slightly more complex than this.

    In 2003, an Iranian dissident group revealed that Tehran’s nuclear programme might not be entirely peaceful. This prompted the International Atomic Energy Agency to ask some questions and demand more intrusive inspections of the programme. This led to a confession by Iran that it had not revealed some aspects of its programme to the IAEA, which it was supposed to do under its legal obligation to the NPT. The US, which considers Iran an adversary, pounced on the information and since then has been trying to pin Iran down.

    Most countries are convinced that Iran is not telling the truth and there is more to its programme than Tehran is prepared to admit. This suspicion is based on three facts: By its own admission, Iran did hide some aspects of its programme; why did it do that? Iran is rich in oil and gas; why is it prepared to stake so much on its nuclear programme if the programme is only for peaceful purposes? To what end is Iran developing its strategic missile capability? Strategic missiles need strategic warheads [emphasis added].

    These are tough questions. But they are also linked to certain other issues. The US is constantly trying to put Iran down and has made no bones about it. This has created a psychosis of fear in Iran. Israel, the US protégé in the Middle East, has also declared Iran its primary threat. Iran, for its part, is adamant that Israel is a threat to it as well as to the rest of the Middle East. Plus, Israel is armed with nuclear weapons. Tehran’s position is that the US should be even-handed. If Washington wants Iran to forego any nuclear activities, then it should also accept the proposal by countries in the region and the IAEA that the Middle East should be declared a nuclear free zone.

    There are a couple of key historical differences between Israel and its Islamic neighbors — it has neither expressed a desire to nor attempted to wipe another country off the map, nor has it acted from an motivation beyond a defensive posture.

    Iran’s argument in this regard makes sense because the Bush administration has shown scant regard for disarmament contained in the NPT while emphasising the non-proliferation aspect of the treaty. Moreover, the technical-legal aspects of the game are underpinned by military-political realities. The latest US National Security Strategy has identified Iran as the biggest threat to the United States. That does nothing to improve the situation.

    No, such labeling may not improve the situation, but that is not a statement against its accuracy. Some of the household cleansers beneath my kitchen sink carry warnings that they are poisonous. Those warnings may not improve the products’ ability to remove grime, but it is correct to say these common items can be dangerous. It is also correct to say that Iran, with its nuclear and martial ambitions, ominous announcements about its growing capabilities, and threats toward the U.S. and Israel, has rightly earned its assessment on the U.S. NSS.

    The word on how the US wants to deal with Iran keeps fluctuating between some sort of compromise to the possible use of force. The US NSS has given a list of requirements that Iran needs to fulfil before it can be re-admitted to the comity of nations. But that is just the US perspective and Tehran has simply pooh-poohed it. Signalling military capabilities in the Gulf where the US navy is also based shows that Iran is not about to back down. A report in a US newspaper, quoting US intelligence sources, says Iran could hit back in a major way — within the US and Europe — if Washington chose to use force against Tehran.

    […]

    The only two countries that can prevail upon Iran and the US to try and find middle ground are China and Russia. One thing is clear: Iran does not seem in any mood to kowtow to the US on the basis of the current US policy.

    Iran cannot kowtow to the Americans on this issue if they hope to continue their ambitions of taking the reins of leadership in the Islamic community. That said, being embarrassed on the battlefield is not a course toward leadership either. The radical Iranian leaders had better be quite certain of their diplomatic skills, which have been successful so far against both a plodding Europe and a predictably timid United Nations, to either find a means to hamstring Western efforts or provide a suitably face-saving out. Should that fail, Iran has to be quite certain of its military capabilities to defend itself against forces that have already given lie to past claims of military prowess in the region.

    Meanwhile, the Pentagon has issued statements on the Iranians test claims and military exercises, seeking to dampen concern about announced results and motives.

    Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman responded Monday to Iranian claims that in recent days it has tested improved airborne and undersea missiles. He said Iran has conducted many tests during the past year of both ballistic and anti-ship missiles, and it would not be surprising if it has made some progress during that time.

    “We know that the Iranians are always trying to improve their weapons systems by both foreign and indigenous measures,” he said. “It’s possible that they are increasing their capability and making strides in radar absorbing materials and targeting. However, the Iranians have been known also to boast and exaggerate their statements about greater technical and tactical capabilities.” [emphasis added]

    Quite right. In a related issue, the U.S. spent decades overvaluing the effectiveness of Soviet tanks and several other vehicles. Simply put, claimed capabilities are not always accurate and oft only falsely boastful, and the results of controlled test are not necessarily good indicators of wartime performance.

    Whitman says ballistic missiles have long been an important part of Iran’s military strategy, and that the country has the largest inventory of such missiles in the Middle East.

    Iran has announced three weapons advances during war games it began conducting on Friday. The latest announcement involved a torpedo fired on Monday that Iranian state television says is capable of destroying enemy ships and submarines “at any depth and any speed.”

    See my earlier “falsely boastful” comment.

    The Pentagon spokesman said Iran’s war games and his comments on them have nothing to do with the effort by the United States and several other world powers to convince Iran to give up its nuclear weapons program.

    Well, that’s diplomatic balderdash.

    It should be noted that any truth behind the announced Iranian military advances, and it is probably that there is some, is most likely attributable to the Russians (hat tip to John Noonan at the Officers’ Club).

    That’s because this Iranian weapon — called the “Hoot,” or “whale” — is based on the Russian Shkval, according to former Naval Intelligence Officer Edmond Pope. “I was informed in late 1990’s by a Russian government official that they were working with Iran on this subject,” he tells Defense Tech. “A cooperative demonstration/program had already been conducted with them at Lake Issy Kul in Kyrgyzstan.”

    […]

    As the AP notes, the Russian-Iranian cooperation could have major strategic consequences for the U.S. navy, possibly keeping American ships from operating freely in the Persian Gulf. “The U.S. and Iranian navies have had brush-ups during the past.”

    Gee, thanks, comrades. That’s a good way to endanger American lives and increase the future threat of Iran becoming a sharper thorn in the weak southern Russian underbelly, a region already exposed to the potential dangers of expansionist radical Islam.

  • Tonight’s Must-Read

    Long are the shadows of past American retreats. In those shadows abide the hopes of our enemies, as they play a waiting game until the Americans once again climb aboard “The Last Helicopter.”

    Hassan Abbasi has a dream–a helicopter doing an arabesque in cloudy skies to avoid being shot at from the ground. On board are the last of the “fleeing Americans,” forced out of the Dar al-Islam (The Abode of Islam) by “the Army of Muhammad.” Presented by his friends as “The Dr. Kissinger of Islam,” Mr. Abbasi is “professor of strategy” at the Islamic Republic’s Revolutionary Guard Corps University and, according to Tehran sources, the principal foreign policy voice in President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s new radical administration.

    For the past several weeks Mr. Abbasi has been addressing crowds of Guard and Baseej Mustadafin (Mobilization of the Dispossessed) officers in Tehran with a simple theme: The U.S. does not have the stomach for a long conflict and will soon revert to its traditional policy of “running away,” leaving Afghanistan and Iraq, indeed the whole of the Middle East, to be reshaped by Iran and its regional allies.

    To hear Mr. Abbasi tell it the entire recent history of the U.S. could be narrated with the help of the image of “the last helicopter.” It was that image in Saigon that concluded the Vietnam War under Gerald Ford. Jimmy Carter had five helicopters fleeing from the Iranian desert, leaving behind the charred corpses of eight American soldiers. Under Ronald Reagan the helicopters carried the corpses of 241 Marines murdered in their sleep in a Hezbollah suicide attack. Under the first President Bush, the helicopter flew from Safwan, in southern Iraq, with Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf aboard, leaving behind Saddam Hussein’s generals, who could not believe why they had been allowed live to fight their domestic foes, and America, another day. Bill Clinton’s helicopter was a Black Hawk, downed in Mogadishu and delivering 16 American soldiers into the hands of a murderous crowd.

    According to this theory, President George W. Bush is an “aberration,” a leader out of sync with his nation’s character and no more than a brief nightmare for those who oppose the creation of an “American Middle East.” Messrs. Abbasi and Ahmadinejad have concluded that there will be no helicopter as long as George W. Bush is in the White House. But they believe that whoever succeeds him, Democrat or Republican, will revive the helicopter image to extricate the U.S. from a complex situation that few Americans appear to understand.

    Perhaps President Bush is an aberration, a modern American politician willing to actually engage our enemies, be it on the battlefields of Afghanistan and the Middle East or the diplomatic battlefields of the United Nations. This is a president baptized by jet-fuel fire; that will likely not be the case for his successor. Yes, it is imperative that 2009 sees the inauguration of another U.S. president with nerve, spine and brass balls, at least figuratively speaking.

    Mr. Ahmadinejad’s defiant rhetoric is based on a strategy known in Middle Eastern capitals as “waiting Bush out.” “We are sure the U.S. will return to saner policies,” says Manuchehr Motakki, Iran’s new Foreign Minister.

    Mr. Ahmadinejad believes that the world is heading for a clash of civilizations with the Middle East as the main battlefield. In that clash Iran will lead the Muslim world against the “Crusader-Zionist camp” led by America. Mr. Bush might have led the U.S. into “a brief moment of triumph.” But the U.S. is a “sunset” (ofuli) power while Iran is a sunrise (tolu’ee) one and, once Mr. Bush is gone, a future president would admit defeat and order a retreat as all of Mr. Bush’s predecessors have done since Jimmy Carter.

    Mr. Ahmadinejad also notes that Iran has just “reached the Mediterranean” thanks to its strong presence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and the Palestinian territories. He used that message to convince Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to adopt a defiant position vis-à-vis the U.N. investigation of the murder of Rafiq Hariri, a former prime minister of Lebanon. His argument was that once Mr. Bush is gone, the U.N., too, will revert to its traditional lethargy. “They can pass resolutions until they are blue in the face,” Mr. Ahmadinejad told a gathering of Hezbollah, Hamas and other radical Arab leaders in Tehran last month.

    Please, please note that the Iranian rulers’ concept of “saner” American policies post-Bush means a return to acceptance of unnecessary retreat when bloodied and willingness to happily suffer an emasculated United Nations. These are the sane policies that will enable our enemies to continue unchecked their plans to develop a world where eventually they will be strong enough for a showdown of civilizations.

    Folks, while sadly not unprecedented, those are most assuredly not sane policies for the world we shape for our future generations.

    It is not only in Tehran and Damascus that the game of “waiting Bush out” is played with determination. In recent visits to several regional capitals, this writer was struck by the popularity of this new game from Islamabad to Rabat. The general assumption is that Mr. Bush’s plan to help democratize the heartland of Islam is fading under an avalanche of partisan attacks inside the U.S. The effect of this assumption can be witnessed everywhere. [Emphasis added]

    The weakness in the Bush doctrine is clear in the eyes of our enemies: it will fail not because it could never succeed in Arab culture, nor because we lacked the abilities and resources to achieve the goal of a democratic and self-determining shining city on a hill in the Islamic world, but rather because of bitter and partisan internal politics and infighting. Anti-war and anti-Bush elements may argue that they can support the troops while actively opposing the mission, but the truth of the matter is they are not only undermining our soldiers but are also endangering future generations.

    And they have been quite successful in hindering our efforts and rolling back large chunks of progress we had made.

    In Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf has shelved his plan, forged under pressure from Washington, to foster a popular front to fight terrorism by lifting restrictions against the country’s major political parties and allowing their exiled leaders to return. There is every indication that next year’s elections will be choreographed to prevent the emergence of an effective opposition. In Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, arguably the most pro-American leader in the region, is cautiously shaping his post-Bush strategy by courting Tehran and playing the Pushtun ethnic card against his rivals.

    In Turkey, the “moderate” Islamist government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan is slowly but surely putting the democratization process into reverse gear. With the post-Bush era in mind, Mr. Erdogan has started a purge of the judiciary and a transfer of religious endowments to sections of the private sector controlled by his party’s supporters. There are fears that next year’s general election would not take place on a level playing field.

    Even in Iraq the sentiment that the U.S. will not remain as committed as it has been under Mr. Bush is producing strange results. While Shiite politicians are rushing to Tehran to seek a reinsurance policy, some Sunni leaders are having second thoughts about their decision to join the democratization process. “What happens after Bush?” demands Salih al-Mutlak, a rising star of Iraqi Sunni leaders. The Iraqi Kurds have clearly decided to slow down all measures that would bind them closer to the Iraqi state. Again, they claim that they have to “take precautions in case the Americans run away.”

    There are more signs that the initial excitement created by Mr. Bush’s democratization project may be on the wane. Saudi Arabia has put its national dialogue program on hold and has decided to focus on economic rather than political reform. In Bahrain, too, the political reform machine has been put into rear-gear, while in Qatar all talk of a new democratic constitution to set up a constitutional monarchy has subsided. In Jordan the security services are making a spectacular comeback, putting an end to a brief moment of hopes for reform. As for Egypt, Hosni Mubarak has decided to indefinitely postpone local elections, a clear sign that the Bush-inspired scenario is in trouble. Tunisia and Morocco, too, have joined the game by stopping much-advertised reform projects while Islamist radicals are regrouping and testing the waters at all levels.

    Why should any of these governments suffer real reform or provide substantial assistance, when we have shown weakness in success and rewarded a true ally in the region with an embarrassing reactionary snubbing?

    The editorial’s author, Amir Taheri, wraps up with far more optimism than I truly feel.

    But how valid is the assumption that Mr. Bush is an aberration and that his successor will “run away”? It was to find answers that this writer spent several days in the U.S., especially Washington and New York, meeting ordinary Americans and senior leaders, including potential presidential candidates from both parties. While Mr. Bush’s approval ratings, now in free fall, and the increasingly bitter American debate on Iraq may lend some credence to the “helicopter” theory, I found no evidence that anyone in the American leadership elite supported a cut-and-run strategy.

    The reason was that almost all realized that the 9/11 attacks have changed the way most Americans see the world and their own place in it. Running away from Saigon, the Iranian desert, Beirut, Safwan and Mogadishu was not hard to sell to the average American, because he was sure that the story would end there; the enemies left behind would not pursue their campaign within the U.S. itself. The enemies that America is now facing in the jihadist archipelago, however, are dedicated to the destruction of the U.S. as the world knows it today.

    Those who have based their strategy on waiting Mr. Bush out may find to their cost that they have, once again, misread not only American politics but the realities of a world far more complex than it was even a decade ago. Mr. Bush may be a uniquely decisive, some might say reckless, leader. But a visitor to the U.S. soon finds out that he represents the American mood much more than the polls suggest. [Again, emphasis added]

    Yes, such realities face the American public, a public that generally and historically is made up of far sterner stuff than our recent series of ignominious withdrawals would indicate. However, while I wish that the hopeful outlook of Mr. Taheri proves true, I cannot embrace it yet as probable. This is not because I do not believe that the U.S. is able succeed in Iraq and able to continue to confront our enemies before their danger is imminent; instead, it is because I question whether we will have the national will. The editorial argues that political bickering from defeatist and partisans have doomed our efforts to democratize Iraq in the eyes of our enemy. I’ll go that one further, arguing once again that our effort has been undermined by our so-called friends in the media. I maintain the belief that only fair reporting of Iraq would have sustained public support — there was no need even for the rah-rah stuff, though that possibly shouldn’t have been too much to occasionally ask for in a time of war with so much, a possible pending clash of civilizations, hanging over the horizon.

    In the Bullpen‘s Chad Evans looks at the same editorial and throws in his thoughts. Here’s a tidbit:

    Thus we are left with the debate between “Democracy doesn’t work” and “Democracy may work.” Democracy may not work too, but five years is hardly long enough to ascertain whether President Bush’s Democracy policy has done anything. Even in the case of Palestine, it is now up to Hamas to carry the ball as high as they set it during these past elections. It might prove insurmountable thus lessoning support for Hamas and their tactics. Again though, it might not. It is this guessing game that makes everyone uncomfortable.

    Will the election of 2008 truly be between a continuance of a Democracy policy or more of an isolationist movement with the Democratic Party chairing in isolationism? Political parties can and have switched policies for centuries.

    Protein Wisdom‘s Jeff Goldstein ties the piece to today’s announcement of a Democrat security platform, as follows:

    [The article] notes the “Kissinger of Iran” predicting the US won’t have the stomach to finish the job in Iraq and Afghanistan, essentially leaving the entire middle east to be reshaped by Iran and it’s regional allies.”

    Which, while this is not something the Democrats want to hear about their “smart, strong, tough” new plan, is precisely what our enemies are waiting and hoping for—and in fact has been a strategical aim of al Qaedas from day one. The strong horse and the weak horse.

    Forget that the Iraqis overwhelmingly see the country moving in the right direction (84% of Shias, 76% of Kurds in a January poll); the real problem is here at home, where we have inversely concluded—thanks to 3 years of unrelentingly negative reporting, and the repetition of rhetorical hyperbole, lies, and half-truths by cynical partisan opponents of the President—that the war is a disaster, things are moving in the wrong direction, and the “proper” thing to do now, according to Democrats, is “responsibly redeploy” [read: pull troops out of Iraq] and go on a manhunt for a single Arab who may or may not be dead.

    Go read them both — they’re both on my blogroll for a reason.

  • From the Ol’ Blogroll

    First, from the Jawa Report, the latest news of brutal abuse from Iraq — check that, I mean the latest brutal abuse of news from Iraq.

    The Latest Blood Libel Lie in Iraq

    What would you do if every day you saw images of dead civilians, women, and children? Now, imagine that you are told these deaths were the result of Americans intentionally killing civilians. If this was your perception of reality, then you too would probably feel an obligation to fight America. At the very least, you would support those that took up arms.

    Now imagine that it was mainstream media sources that were reporting Americans had massacred Iraqi civilians. The media, instead of challenging the version of the story as delivered by radical Islamists that routinely lie, equivocate and act as if the story told by U.S. soldiers is only one version of the truth. That the word of a U.S. soldier is just as suspect as that of Muqtada al Sadr.

    Propagating the lie that U.S. soldiers massacre mosque worshippers constitutes a form of blood libel. By portraying American troops as blood thirsty murderers, jihadi propagandists create an atmosphere of obligatory vendettas. What moral person could stand by and let the Americans get away with this type of murder? By treating that lie as if it was a legitimate viewpont, the media help prolong the war on terror. Worse, they give jihadis recruiting power, which leads to the death of more U.S. soldiers and eventually civilians.

    Take for instance this …

    Go read the rest. It dovetails quite nicely with my piece yesterday on “our” media.

    Second, Chad at In the Bullpen covers a big story from the DFW area: the walk-out protests by local high school students/truants in favor of illegal immigration.

    Second Day of Immigration Protests in Dallas

    Another day, another protest held by students in the Dallas area over the immigration bill. Local media reported many students were from the city of Irving, a suburb of Dallas, and that the Dallas Police Department called in trains and buses to help transport students to Dallas City Hall. School administrators claim all students absent will be marked truant therefore any test, quiz or homework assignment missed will result in a failed grade. Truancy also used to be against the law, but so too is entering this country illegally and aiding those who break U.S. law. Seemingly not in this day and age though.

    Check it out for the silliness that has been the locales’ allowing teenagers to blow off school for two straight days and some of the fallout of such coddling.

    Third, JohnL at TexasBestGrok posts a special farewell installment as part of his aircraft cheesecake series.

    Sunday Aircraft Cheesecake (F-14 Tomcat)

    After more than 30 years of distinguished service to the US Navy, the last two squadrons of F-14 Tomcats ended their final combat deployments about two weeks ago. A couple of nice articles about this milestone event can be found …

    Definitely watch the video. And tell JohnL to keep up the cheesecake.

  • The Knife in Our Back

    Four hostile newspapers are more to be feared than a thousand bayonets.

    —Napoleon Bonaparte

    If defeat finds us in Iraq, I will already tell you where the blames lies — our media and the perversion of the journalistic field that I have loved since childhood. There will be no need to dust for prints on the hilt of the blade in the back of our efforts, though there will be finger-pointing aplenty and smug ‘I-told-you-so” assertions from the self-fulfilling media prophesiers.

    Frustrations of press coverage and the apparent willingness by the media to undermine our efforts and enable our enemies are growing ever easier to find … as long as one doesn’t rely overly much on the media.

    Altering perceptions of Iraq

    Perception is everything. And when applied to the war in Iraq, perception, public opinion, and a far-reaching press are all variables that could ultimately have a hand in any setback or defeat for U.S. and coalition forces in that country.

    Don’t misunderstand me: I’m all for free speech. If anything, that is the single most important element of our free society. It is one of our essential individual freedoms, and it protects other freedoms.

    I do, however, have concerns about false and deliberatively inflammatory propaganda aimed at manipulating audiences. I am not suggesting that any press – good or bad – be quashed. What’s good or bad is open to interpretation anyway. But I think we should recognize the difference between news (including reported facts, analysis, and opinion) and propaganda.

    Seriously, read the whole piece to see how falsehoods are being spread by our enemies, while our media seemingly choose to subject a skeptical eye only toward our own government and military. As an example, I point you to the Guantanamo Koran-abuse stories, based solely upon allegations of detainees trained to make just such claims and happily ran by several major American media outlets. Too bad about the lives lost in the resulting bloodshed — I’m sure the subsequent retraction made everything all better.

    Hat tip on this column to Dr. Rusty, who adds the following [emphasis in original]:

    The most important variable in defeating an enemy is that they believe they will lose. Rarely will people fight for a cause that they believe will ultimately fail. That is why we must believe we can win, and why we must convince the enemy that they will lose. And that is why propaganda is such a positive tool. Unfortunately, most people believe that propaganda is somehow bad since it allegedly distorts reality. It can, but so can “unbiased” news.

    Rumsfeld: U.S. gets low marks in ‘battle of ideas’

    Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said on Monday after visiting the Pennsylvania site where a hijacked airliner crashed on September 11, 2001 that the United States deserves poor marks in how it has waged a “battle of ideas” with groups like al Qaeda.

    […]

    “If I were grading, I would say we probably deserve a D or a D-plus as a country as to how well we’re doing in the battle of ideas that’s taking place in the world today. And I’m not going to suggest that it’s easy, but we have not found the formula as a country,” Rumsfeld said at the war college.

    Rumsfeld said there are many moderate Muslims and relatively few Muslim “violent extremists,” and the United States must find ways to encourage and support the moderates.

    “Every time the United States tries to do anything that would communicate something positive about what we’re doing in the world, we’re criticized in the press and in the Congress, and we have a reappraisal and say, ‘Oh, my goodness, is that something we should be doing? How do we do it in a way that is considered acceptable in our society?’” Rumsfeld said.

    Rumsfeld brought up the ongoing practice by the U.S. military command in Iraq to pay Iraqi news organizations to run pro-American stories secretly written by U.S. troops in an “information operations” task force.

    Some lawmakers, including Virginia Republican Sen. John Warner, chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, expressed concern that paying foreign news organizations to plant pro-American stories might undermine U.S. credibility.

    “They were not lies that were being put in the paper. They were accurate,” Rumsfeld said. “But the fuss and the concern in the country (the United States) has just been, you know, a frenzy over it.”

    Rumsfeld did not say whether or not he believed the practice was proper. He said last week the Pentagon would review that question.

    It should be noted that waging a campaign of ideals is understandably quite difficult when the horrendous actions of a few, such as those Americans who perpetrated the infamous abuses at Abu Ghraib, are trumpeted broadly and hammered repeatedly. Little told, if ever, is the fact that the military actually released the story and had begun investigations prior to the media’s sensationalistic feeding frenzy. Prosecutions don’t receive weeks of frontpage coverage. Saddam’s own history with Abu Ghraib, the legacy that should truly be attached to the complex, is essentially omitted from press coverage.

    Even less is told globally or nationally of the progress and humanitarian successes of our troops. Yes, papers will tell the tales of good deeds done by their regional National Guard units or local boys in uniform. Still, the average American is left with the notion that, yeah, our folks are okay but the overall is a mess.

    Needless to say, the military rankles at such poor coverage.

    Fast Facts Not the Story

    It is easy to rush to judgment, and to failure, about Iraq if you focus on isolated facts and fail to see the whole picture.

    Fact: there are car bombs killing scores of civilians in Baghdad.

    Fact: terrorists are murdering Iraqis at rates not previously seen. We continue to see the targeting of Iraq’s innocent men, women and children, causing a 75 percent increase in the number of civilian casualties.

    These are disturbing facts. Taken in isolation they can paint a distorted picture of what is actually going on in Iraq.

    Any loss of life is tragic. However, these incidents need to be placed in perspective to understand what is happening here.

    Fact: violence is not widespread in Iraq. Three of Iraq’s provinces, Baghdad, Al Anbar and Salah ad Din,account for nearly 75 percent of all the attacks. The other 15 provinces average less than six attacks daily and 12 average less than two attacks per day. That does not erase what is happening in Baghdad, but it does put it in perspective.

    Fact: 70 percent of Iraq’s population live without incidents.

    Here is what you are not seeing. Operations last fall in the Euphrates River Valley effectively cut off the major routes for weapons and suicide terrorists. As a result we are not seeing as many of those attacks. The terrorists have to save up for an attack. Since last fall there have not been any “re-attacks” in major cities like Fallujah or Tall Afar by the coalition and Iraqi Security Forces to drive out the terrorists.

    Why? There are now more than 241,000 trained and equipped ISF members patrolling the streets and neighborhoods of Iraq – 100,000 more than we had last January 2005. In total, about 75 percent of the planned Iraqi Security Forces are out on the streets and in the fight across Iraq. ISF are in the cities and in the lead.

    Due to the increased presence of the ISF and the security measures put in place by the Iraqi government, we have not seen any horrific attacks like the 2004 suicide attacks in Baghdad and Karbala against the Arba’een pilgrims. Also, there is increased emphasis on security in Baghdad. Operation “Scales of Justice” brought in more than 600 U.S. forces and additional Iraqi forces to Baghdad allowing more patrols and checkpoints in the city. Recent operations like “Swarmer” and “Northern Lights” were based on intelligence telling us where to find suspected terrorists and caches. Intelligence also led to the recent rescue by British, Iraqi and American forces of three christian activists kidnapped in November.

    Violence that was once widespread is now relegated to three provinces. Terrorists who once roamed freely are now severely constrained. Coalition and ISF operations are placing unrelenting pressure on the terrorists.

    Viewed in isolation, a single event can seem overwhelming. However, taken in perspective you can see the noose for the terrorists is tightening as long as we are not distracted, or disheartened, by the desperate acts of the terrorists.

    All of this as March, 2006, draws to a close, a month trending to be among the lowest in terms of American military deaths in the three years since the invasion. Has this fact been made clear to the American public by our media? Well, no. Instead, the gist of coverage has shifted from the inevitability of a successful guerrila campaign to the inevitability of a civil war. The media is doing all it can to stay ahead of events without covering the full story, dead set on being ready in the event of American failure to say we told you how things were falling apart while, intentionally or unintentionally, helping things to fall apart through their myopic coverage.

    So jaded was I by coverage of our efforts against radical Islamist terror, so certain was I that some whose mission it is to inform the American public and the world of the news were, again intentionally or unintentionally (I’m obviously hedging here, though I feel some have made their motivations quite evident), slanting and cherry-picking their stories in hopes or assumptions of a pending American defeat, that I created an “Our” Media category on this blog.

    Why must the burden fall upon a few conservative magazines, the military and the milblogging community to get out a story that the mainstream media chooses to ignore? Why, when the name of Abu Ghraib is uttered in American circles, does the image of photographs of a few American soldiers-gone-bad far overshadow the true bloody history of the prison under the despotic Saddam regime? Why are noble private humanitarian efforts, such as Spirit of America and Wheelchairs for Iraqi Kids, only covered by the likes of Michael Yon? Why are the words of President Bush, Vice President Cheney and SecDef Rumsfeld subjected with a fine-tooth comb while the opposition, such as pro-retreat Congressman John Murtha (D-IsForDefeat) and Gold Star mom Cindy Sheehan, see no such scrutiny for their oft-bewildering statements? Most importantly, why is the American military — a force whose arms, equipment, protection, training, professionalism, efficiency and success in the battle are unrivalled in history — starving for support from their own citizenry for their endeavors and sacrifices in the field and in danger of potential political defeat merely by roadside explosives and carbombs while experiencing a casualty pace diminished by the whole of military history?

    Should we fail in Iraq, the source of the that failure is clear in my mind. It will not be the mission, nor will it be the planning for the campaign or its aftermath. It will not be the conduct of our troops, nor will it be the lack of their successes. It will not be the strength of our enemies, nor will it be any weakness of will on the part of our current leadership. Simply put, it will be message, and subsequently those who control the spread of the message. I’m talking about a message that doomed our efforts in Viet Nam and, with today’s standards, could’ve killed our efforts in World War II after the bloodshed of D-Day or Iwo Jima or the North African invasion of Operation Torch, surely a move that would be classified by modern media as a misdirection from the war waiting in Europe in much the same manner as Iraq has been deemed as a sidetrack to the war on terror (never mind that documents slowly coming out seem to justify the concerns about Saddam’s links radical Islamist terror) .

    That said, the media sold advertisements and their version of events. Let the chips fall where they may; it is our grandchildren who will have to live (or die) with the outcome.

  • Prince Charles Calls for Tolerance in Egypt

    More naivety from our Euro friends? Apparently so, this time courtesy the British crown prince.

    Britain’s Prince Charles began his visit to Egypt on Monday urging people to bridge the gap between the Western and Islamic worlds even as his own trip to Cairo’s most renowned Islamic institution courted controversy.

    “As I’m going to say at Al-Azhar university, I find my heart is incredibly heavy from all the destruction and death that occurs,” Charles told Egypt’s state-owned satellite Nile TV channel, in an interview pre-recorded in London.

    […]

    Al-Azhar’s decided to honour Charles for his conciliatory stance during the recent controversy over cartoons satirising the Prophet Mohammed, but the move has angered some of the institution’s directors.

    “All that Prince Charles did is to say that Islam is the most widespread religion in the world and that’s a reality, not a discovery made by the prince,” Al-Azhar lecturer in Arab literature Abdel Azim al-Mataanni told AFP.

    In his interview with Nile TV, Charles touched on the broad issues of attacks carried out by Islamic extremists and the recent wave of violent Muslim and Arab protest over the cartoons satirising the Prophet Mohammed.

    “I know so well from having experienced the horror of terrorism myself, in losing my beloved great-uncle Lord Mountbatten back in 1979 when he was blown up in a terrorist bomb,” Charles said, invoking the memory of his mentor killed by the IRA.

    “I do have some understanding I think, a little, of what people go through with these horrors.”

    He pleaded for people on both sides of the Muslim-West divide to find common ground and acknowledge the shared heritage of Christianity, Judaism and Islam.

    Before mentioning Judaism, perhaps Prince Charles should look around Cairo for the apparently-fashionable swastikas. Yes, that’s a sure sign of a fertile common ground.

  • Defiant Hamas Packs Cabinet with Hardliners

    Guess what. The terrorist group-become-democratic-victors of Hamas have yet to be mollified by the rigours of leadership.

    Hamas, the militant Palestinian group, has named a government dominated by its own leadership, defying international pressure and confounding hopes that it would moderate its extremist stance.
    After other Palestinian factions refused to join a coalition, the victorious Islamist group nominated a Cabinet whose senior members have all been jailed, deported and escaped Israeli assassination. Chief among Prime Minister-designate Ismail Haniya’s 24 ministers are Dr Mahmoud al-Zahar, a hardliner, as Foreign Minister, and Said Siyam as Interior Minister. Most others are Hamas, with some pro-Islamist independents and technocrats, one woman and one Christian.
    President Mahmoud Abbas is expected to approve them but may try to delay the decision until after the Israeli general election on March 28. However, Shaul Mofaz, Israel’s Defence Minister, said that if President Abbas accepted the line-up he would “officially turn the Palestinian Authority into a terror entity”. Hamas faces a cash crisis, as EU foreign ministers met in Brussels yesterday to consider how to continue providing aid to Palestinians without endorsing what is regarded as a terrorist organisation by the EU and US.

    The article describes four of the key named figures as follows:

    Prime Minister: Ismail Haniya, 43. Imprisoned by Israelis twice

    Foreign Minister: Mahmoud al-Zahar, 55. Imprisoned once by Israelis. Survived Israeli assassination attempt but lost a son. Hardliner. Hostile to Israel and the US

    Finance Minister: Omar Abdel-Razeq, 48. Arrested twice by Israel

    Interior Minister: Said Siyam, 46. Teacher. Lost job with UN relief agency over political affiliations. Member of the Hamas’s political office in Gaza In charge of foreign relations for Hamas. Jailed four times by Israelis

    Should we be surprised that Hamas has yet to turn into a bunch of Pollyannas? No, of course not. First, they have yet to really shoulder the strain of actually trying to govern the madness that fills the Palestinian regions. They did get a taste of the “society” they’re expected to lead today, as Palestinian gunmen engaged in multiple firefights. Strangely, these violent outbursts of cordite involved no Israelis.

    Unfortunately, some of the immediate pressure of governing was alleviated from Hamas as the European Union agreed to a release of $78 million in emergency aid. Luckily, that largesse was accompanied with the oh-so-stern warning that Hamas must play nice.

    In Brussels on Monday, EU external relations commissioner Benita Ferrero-Waldner handed a cheque for 64m euros to Karen AbuZayed, of the UN Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA).

    She was insistent that Hamas, which has refused to recognise Israel or renounce violence, needs to fall into line with the international community.

    Hamas immediately buckled. No, wait, they actually took the money and thumbed their nose at their naive benefactors.

    A Hamas spokesman, Salah Bardawil, said the group recognised that the PA faced economic difficulties.

    “But we will not go begging to the United States and Europe because we will not be blackmailed over our political positions,” he said.

    He said Hamas, an Islamic organisation, would seek new funding from the Islamic world.

    Ah, sweet progress toward peace. I do, however, look forward to the times when Hamas does actually try to govern the mess it has played no small part in creating. If only fools would quit enabling Hamas and actually force them to confront the consequences of their positions.

  • How U.S. Assault Grabbed Global Attention

    Yesterday, I questioned a media description of Operation Swarmer as the “biggest attack since the Iraqi invasion.” Today, the media is questioning itself and finding its own coverage overblown because of a lack of understanding of American military terminology.

    It was billed by the US military as “the largest air assault operation” since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2003, with attack and assault aircraft providing “aerial weapons support” for 1,500 US and Iraqi commandos moving in to clear “a suspected insurgent operating area north-east of Samarra.”

    The international news agencies immediately rang the urgent bells on the story.

    Around the world, programmes were interrupted as screens flashed the news, which dominated the global media agenda for the next 12 hours or more.

    […]

    By the middle of Day Two, the operation had already been scaled down to 900 men.

    Operation Swarmer clearly bore no comparison in scale to the initial attack which brought down Saddam Hussein’s regime, or to the massive assault on the insurgent stronghold in the city of Falluja in November 2004.

    Nor did it appear to match a series of counter-insurgency operations involving air strikes and ground forces in remote areas near the Syrian border in western Iraq last year.

    In one four-day campaign last May, the US military said it had killed 125 insurgents for the loss of nine of its own men killed and 40 injured.

    So how and why did this latest apparently routine combing operation, yielding a few arms caches and netting some low-grade suspects, manage to win stop-press coverage around the world?

    The use of the phrase “the largest air assault operation” was clearly crucial, raising visions of a massive bombing campaign.

    In fact, all the phrase meant is that more helicopters were deployed to airlift the troops into the area than in previous such operations.

    The 50 “aircraft” that had been deployed were not combat jets blasting insurgent targets, but helicopters ferrying in the forces. There was no rocketing or bombing from the sky.

    In US military parlance, “air assault” means transporting troops into a combat zone by air. It could include, but does not necessarily imply, air strikes.

    Ah yes, the media — get the story out, get it right later … maybe.