Category: Central Asia

  • News Link Dump, 3 NOV 05

    Okay, I’m busy packing for a weekend journey to “scenic” Lubbock, Texas, to watch my Aggies square off on the gridiron against my fiancee’s Tech Red Raiders. I’m not expecting a good game, but it has become an annual trip for us, be it Lubbock or dear ol’ College Station.

    And now the news and views.

    The good news from Iraq is not fit to print

    No question: If you think that defeating Islamofascism, extending liberty, and transforming the Middle East are important, it’s safe to say you saw the ratification of the new constitution as the Iraqi news story of the week [emphasis in original].

    But that isn’t how the mainstream media saw it.

    Consider The Washington Post. On the morning after the results of the Iraqi referendum were announced, the Post’s front page was dominated by a photograph, stretched across four columns, of three daughters at the funeral of their father, Lieutenant Colonel Leon James II, who had died from injuries suffered during a Sept. 26 bombing in Baghdad. Two accompanying stories, both above the fold, were headlined ”Military Has Lost 2,000 in Iraq” and ”Bigger, Stronger, Homemade Bombs Now to Blame for Half of US Deaths.” A nearby graphic — ”The Toll” — divided the 2,000 deaths by type of military service — active duty, National Guard, and Reserves.

    I’ve said it before and, unfortunately, I’m quite certain I’ll have to say it again — our media’s handling of this war absolutely disgusts me. Oh, I’m not just talking about the Iraqi theater, though that has certainly been the lowlight of their performance, but also their coverage dating back to the opening of the Afghan campaign (a theater now seemingly all but forgotten in their eyes). I’ll again quote Power Line‘s Paul Mirengoff, who blogged the following:

    Have you ever read a history of war that focused almost entirely on casualty figures (with an occasional torture story and grieving parent thrown in), to the exclusion of any real discussion of tactics, operations, and actual battles? I haven’t. But that’s what our self-proclaimed “rough drafters” of history are serving up with respect to Iraq.

    It’s almost become a cliche, but I honestly feel we could not have successfully prosecuted World War II with today’s media.

    Chertoff says US wants to “gain control” of borders

    President George W. Bush’s domestic security chief vowed on Wednesday to “gain control” of U.S. borders, prompting ridicule from immigration control activists who have taken the matter into their own hands.

    Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff said the administration aims to improve ways to keep illegal migrants out and to deport those already in the United States.

    “Simply stated, our goal is to gain control of our borders,” Chertoff said in a speech organized by the Houston Forum, a nonprofit educational group.

    “I define control to mean that we will have an extremely high probability of detecting, responding to and interdicting illegal crossings of our borders.”

    I’ll wait until I actually see something of substance. Our borders have been far too freakin’ porous for far, far too long.

    Crisis as Paris burns for another night

    France’s government was under mounting pressure yesterday to regain control of the situation around Paris as youths opened fire on police and set 300 cars ablaze in overnight rioting in what is now a week of serious disorder.

    Dominique de Villepin, the prime minister, held a series of crisis meetings yesterday amid increasing criticism of the government for its failure to control the escalating violence which began last Thursday in the northern suburb of Clichy-sous-Bois after two teenagers of North African origin were electrocuted in an electricity sub-station. The violence has since spread to at least 20 impoverished suburbs around the capital.

    I expect this matter to calm soon. That said, I don’t expect the actual problem to go away. This story is an excellent example of why: note the subdued description of the rioters and the troublesome neighborhoods. It isn’t until the 21st of 24 paragraphs until one can find the only mention of the religion involved. Of course, I’m talking about Islam.

    Al-Qaida Claims Downing of U.S. Helicopter

    Al-Qaida in Iraq claimed Thursday it shot down a U.S. attack helicopter that crashed, killing two Marines, and a U.S. general said witnesses saw the aircraft take ground fire and break up in the air.

    The AH-1W Super Cobra crashed Wednesday near Ramadi during daylong fighting in the insurgent stronghold 70 miles west of Baghdad. In addition to the two crewmen, an American lieutenant died when a bomb exploded as he was rushing to the crash site.

    Another U.S. soldier died Thursday in a roadside bombing northeast of Baghdad, the military said.

    My best wishes to the families of the troops involved.

    A nuclear surge to follow Iran’s diplomatic purge

    Iran announced yesterday that it was removing 40 ambassadors from their posts abroad and indicated a further hardening of the regime’s policies by preparing a new phase in its nuclear programme.

    A day after The Times revealed that senior envoys were being purged from Iran’s diplomatic service, Manoucher Mottaki, the Foreign Minister, told the parliament in Tehran that “the missions of more than 40 ambassadors and heads of Iranian diplomatic missions abroad will expire” by March 20. He described the drastic changes, affecting nearly half of Iran’s foreign posts, as normal and insisted that many envoys were close to retirement.

    His assurances failed to silence critics, both in Iran and abroad, who insisted that key envoys were being dismissed because they were moderates closely identified with the reformist policies of previous administrations.

    As Iran shifts back towards the hard line in its efforts to thrust itself into the leadership of the Islamic world, they run the risk of solidifying opposition other than the U.S. and Israel. After seeing trouble within their own borders and hearing the all-too-familiar threats, threats that ring out in an echo of the 1930s, some eyes in continental Europe seem to be opening to a growing danger.

    Assassination probe finds a trail of suspects

    It reads like a spy novel, laying out an elaborate web of phone calls, surveillance and even a fake assassin intended to throw investigators off the trail.

    The United Nations report on the Feb. 14 assassination of former Leba-nese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri details months of plotting by top Syrian and Lebanese security officials.

    The report, which was released Oct. 20, implicates about a dozen men who are now the focus of the U.N. investigation.

    In the coming weeks, the fate of these men could provoke a showdown between Syria and the international community. Armed with the chilling 54-page report, the United States, France and Britain lobbied for a U.N. resolution that threatened Syria with sanctions unless it cooperates fully with the U.N. probe.

    The resolution, which was unanimously approved by the Security Council on Monday, requires Syria to detain any Syrian official or civilian deemed by U.N. investigators as a suspect in Hariri’s killing.

    This story could be dangerous. Still, it could also be grab-the-popcorn entertaining as Syria finds itself suddenly struggling like a fish on a hook.

  • Police Arrest 20 in Search for New Delhi Bombers

    More bombs and bloodshed and, as was the initial suspicions of everybody outside the Middle East, radical Islamists appear to be to blame for the murder of over sixty in India this weekend.

    Indian police raided dozens of hotels and detained 20 suspects last night in the hunt for those responsible for a series of blasts in New Delhi that killed 61 people and left more than 200 injured.

    Explosions tore through a bus and two crowded markets on Saturday night just as Indian and Pakistani diplomats from the nuclear-armed rivals were finalising a deal to open up their contested frontier in Kashmir for earthquake relief efforts.

    An obscure Kashmiri militant organisation, Islami Inqilabi Mahaz (Islamic Revolutionary Group), telephoned local newspapers to claim responsibility for Saturday night’s blasts and said “attacks will continue until India pulls out all its troops from the state of Kashmir”.

    The caller, who identified himself as Ahmed Yaar Ghaznavi, said the attack “was meant as a rebuff to the claims of Indian security groups” that militant fighters had been wiped out by military crackdowns and the South Asian earthquake on October 8.

    The claim of the group has yet to be verified, Karnail Singh, joint commissioner of Delhi police, told a press conference.

    “We know that it was created in 1996 and it has not been very active, but it has links with Lashkar-e-Taiba,” he said, referring to the most feared militant group in Kashmir.

    Analysts had said the timing and sophisticated nature of the blasts appeared to be the work of Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba (Force of the Pure). Many experts said that if Islamic extremists were behind the bombings, their motivation would be to destabilise the 20-month-old peace process between the two nuclear-armed neighbours. “Things are not going their way so the easiest act is to try to destroy the progress that has been made,” said Uday Bhaskar of Delhi’s Institute for Defence Studies and Analysis.

    However, Pakistan’s information minister, Sheikh Rashid, told Indian television channels that no one could “drive a wedge between the two countries because both are committed to peace”. The opening of the de facto border, known as the Line of Control, for relief operations was a big step forward, he said. Islamic militants in Kashmir have for 16 years been seeking independence from India.

    But despite the blasts, the two sides agreed to open the border in five places next week. Aid supplies will be allowed to cross at those points and Kashmiri civilians on foot, with priority given to those with families divided by the border.

    India. Russia. London. New York. Bali. The list already goes on and on, and it will only continue to grow. Is there really any question remaining for those of rational mind that expansionist radical Islam is a global threat? I should certainly hope not.

  • Iran Leader Calls for Israel’s Destruction

    Ever one to be begging to stay in the crosshairs of the reticle, Iran has issued a clear view of its road map to Mideast peace — the obliteration of Israel.

    President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declared Wednesday that Israel is a “disgraceful blot” that should be “wiped off the map” – fiery words that Washington said underscores its concern over Iran’s nuclear program.

    Ahmadinejad’s speech to thousands of students at a “World without Zionism” conference set a hard-line foreign policy course sharply at odds with that of his moderate predecessor, echoing the sentiments of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the founder of Iran’s Islamic revolution.

    The United States said Ahmadinejad’s remarks show that Washington’s fears about Iran’s nuclear program are accurate.

    “I think it reconfirms what we have been saying about the regime in Iran,” White House press secretary Scott McClellan told reporters in Washington. “It underscores the concerns we have about Iran’s nuclear intentions.”

    Ahmadinejad also condemned Iran’s neighbors which seek to break new ground in their relations with Israel. “Anybody who recognizes Israel will burn in the fire of the Islamic nation’s fury,” state-run television quoted him as saying.

    Relations between Israel and several Persian Gulf states have been thawing amid Israel’s withdrawal from the Gaza Strip in September. Bahrain announced in September it was ending a decades-old law banning trade ties with Israel. In October, Qatar said it was donating $6 million to help build a soccer stadium for a mixed Arab-Jewish team, the first such financial assistance by an Arab state for any town inside Israel.

    Israel has been at the forefront of nations calling for an end to Iran’s nuclear program, which the United States and many others in the West say is aimed at acquiring weapons of mass destruction. Iran insists the program is for generating electricity.

    Referring to Palestinian suicide bomb attacks in Israel, Ahmadinejad said: “there is no doubt that the new wave in Palestine will soon wipe off this disgraceful blot from the face of the Islamic world.”

    Yup. With their continuing nuclear two-step with European powers, the Iranian leaders almost seem to be playing for another Osiraq. Are they that certain of their defenses?

    “Ahmadinejad has clearly declared the doctrine of his government,” said Mohammad Sadeq Hosseini, an expert on Middle Eastern affairs. “He is returning Iran to the revolutionary goals it was pursuing in the 1980s.”

    Reacting to the Iranian president’s speech, Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman Mark Regev said Ahmadinejad and Hamas leader Mahmoud Zahar “speak openly about destroying the Jewish state … and it appears the problem with these extremists is that they followed through on their violent declarations with violent actions.”

    Ebrahim Yazdi, a former Iranian foreign minister, said Ahmadinejad’s remarks harmed Iran.

    “Such comments provoke the international community against us. It’s not to Iran’s interests at all. It’s harmful to Iran to make such a statement,” he said.

    Several world governments issued statements criticizing the Iranian’s remarks, including Britain, Canada and Germany.

    In Madrid, Spanish Foreign Minister Miguel Angel Moratinos summoned Iran’s ambassador to protest Ahmadinejad’s comments. Moratinos said he rejected the remarks in the strongest possible terms.

    French Foreign Minister Jean-Baptiste Mattei also condemned the remarks “with the utmost firmness.”

    Obviously, if you’ve drawn a scowl from the French and the Spanish, you’ve probably crossed the barrier of international etiquette. That said, what the hell are France and Spain really going to do, scowl more sternly?

    As Iran and Syria both work to further instability in Iraq, it seems the two now hold themselves as rivals over the Israeli issue, each jostling to be the current leading Islamic nation in the ongoing effort to push the Jews into the sea.

  • U.S., Britain, Iran Trade Charges over Attacks

    Bomb attacks hit Iran over the weekend, and Iran responded by pointing an accusing finger at the Brits.

    Yo, Iran: Pot, kettle, black.

    Iran’s president accused Britain on Sunday of being behind deadly weekend bomb attacks in Iran, sharply escalating tension after the United States and Britain charged Iran was involved in insurgent attacks in Iraq.

    “We are very suspicious about the role of British forces in perpetrating such terrorist acts,” the ISNA student news agency quoted Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as saying of twin bombings that killed five people in southwest Iran on Saturday.

    “Our people are used to these kind of incidents, and our intelligence agents found the footprints of Britain in the same incidents before,” Ahmadinejad said during a cabinet meeting.

    […]

    Britain, which has more than 8,000 troops in southern Iraq, has denied any link with the two bombs in the oil city Ahvaz, which injured more than 80, and with the string of attacks this year in Khuzestan province, the center of Iran’s oil industry.

    No one has claimed responsibility for the homemade bombs, planted in garbage bins and detonated a few minutes apart.

    Ahmadinejad’s remarks raised tension between Tehran and London to new heights. Relations were already sensitive because talks between Iran and Britain, France and Germany on Iran’s controversial nuclear program broke down in August.

    Britain and the United States have accused Iran or the Tehran-backed Lebanese group Hizbollah of providing military expertise to Iraqi insurgents behind attacks on British troops in southern Iraq.

    Iran denies meddling in Iraq and says the accusations against it are psychological warfare tied to efforts by Washington and London to report Tehran to the U.N. Security Council for possible sanctions over its nuclear program.

    Frankly, I wouldn’t be surprised if these attacks were a home-grown problem from a vary sizable portion of the Iranian population growing ever more restless for freedom and democracy. Likewise, I wouldn’t mind a bit if the U.S. or our allies were working to foment any such restlessness.

  • Afghan Troops Kill ’31 Taleban’

    As expected, anti-terror efforts continue in the fledgling democracy of Afghanistan. Also as expect, those efforts go bloody but bloody well.

    At least 31 suspected Taleban militants have been killed in clashes with government troops in south-east Afghanistan, officials say.

    Defence Ministry spokesman Gen Mohammed Zaher Azimi said fighting erupted after insurgents attacked an Afghan army post near Angore Adda in Paktika province.

    At least four government troops were injured in the battle near the Pakistan border, which lasted over four hours.

    It was the heaviest reported fighting since elections two weeks ago.

    Gen Azimi said 28 militants had been killed in fighting on Sunday night. Three others were killed in a separate clash in the province earlier in the day.

    […]

    The US military, which has a base in the area, said US troops had not been involved in the fighting.

    More than 1,000 people have been killed in violence linked to militancy in Afghanistan this year.

    Most of those killed have been suspected militants, but more than 80 US troops have also died, about 50 of them in hostile fire.

    A number of civilians and election candidates and workers have also been killed.

    […]

    Afghanistan’s parliamentary and provincial elections on 18 September were hailed as a landmark in the process to bring democracy after years of war.

    The counting of votes is still continuing.

    The repeated inability of the Taliban and al Queda terrorists to disrupt national elections, coupled with their demonstrated ability to die in sizable numbers at the hands of both American and native forces, has to be held as good news for the Afghan theater.

  • War on Terror Update, 18 SEP 05

    I just wanted to take a moment to highlight three stories from today that deserve far more attention than they are receiving from our wonderful media.

    First, there was an absolutely gigantic story in the Afghani theater, as terrorists and Taliban holdouts again failed to keep the Afghan people from the polls.

    Polls close in Afghanistan parliament elections

    Polls closed in Afghanistan’s first parliament elections in more than 30 years, with millions of people casting their ballots in defiance of last-ditch attempts by Taliban rebels to derail the vote.

    Violence marred the start of polling, with nine people killed including a French soldier, while rockets were fired on a UN warehouse in Kabul and two would-be suicide bombers were wounded as they tried to attack a voting centre.

    But as the polls closed officials said a high proportion of the nearly 12.5 mln eligible voters had cast their ballots, signaling another step on a difficult path to democracy launched after the Taliban regime fell in 2001.

    ‘The voting started relatively slowly but after the morning it has seriously picked up all over Afghanistan,’ Peter Erben of the UN-Afghan Joint Electoral Management Board told reporters.

    ‘I believe a high number of Afghans have turned out to vote.’

    I wish I could tell you why this monumental occurrence isn’t being trumpeted as loudly as any single car bomb in Baghdad.

    Speaking of Iraq, I’m certain my readers know of the troubled writing of the proposed constitution. Did you know that the version to be voted on had been finalized? Probably not, especially if you relied on the televised media to bring you the goings-on of the world.

    Iraq approves definitive draft of new constitution

    Iraq’s parliament approved a final draft of a new constitution on Sunday and submitted it to the United Nations, which will print five million copies and distribute it around the country.

    Hussain al-Shahristani, the deputy speaker of parliament, told reporters it was an absolute final draft of the constitution before it is put to a referendum on Oct. 15.

    The document has been held up repeatedly in recent weeks by several last-minute amendments, mainly due to objections by the country’s Sunni Arab minority.

    “There is no way there will be any changes now,” Shahristani said. “The draft is being submitted to the United Nations and will be presented to the Iraqi people soon.”

    Speaking of Iraq, it’s nice to know that some allies aren’t willing to cut and run. In fact, some even express a willingness to prolong or increase missions as needed. Developments don’t quite gather the number of international headlines as announced withdrawals, but such is the media our military and diplomatic efforts must overcome.

    UK says to boost troop numbers in Iraq if needed

    Britain said on Sunday it would if necessary increase the number of troops in Iraq as fears mount that the country is sliding toward civil war.

    Britain, the main ally of the United States in Iraq, has about 8,500 soldiers deployed there and has frequently said its soldiers will stay until the Iraqi government asks them to leave.

    “We don’t need them (more troops) at the moment, if that’s necessary, of course we would do that,” British Defense Minister John Reid told ITV’s Jonathan Dimbleby’s show.

    “There’s no quitting and running, we’re there until the job is done.

    I first started blogging because of my life-long love of journalism and my disgust with today’s media. I may be enduring a little bit of “hobby burnout” lately, but at least the latter motivation is still there, constant and appalling.

  • Europeans Balking at New Afghan Role

    War without allies is bad enough, with allies it is hell!

    —Marshal of the RAF Sir John C. Slessor

    And today we have another reminder of the veracity of Sir John’s statement.

    Germany, France, Britain and other European countries said Tuesday that they strongly opposed an American plan for NATO to become involved in counterinsurgency operations in Afghanistan.

    Meeting with NATO defense ministers here at the start of a two-day conference, the U.S. defense secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, said he would urge the military alliance to expand its role beyond security and peacekeeping and consider joining combat operations against the Taliban-led insurgency.

    Although Rumsfeld emphasized that the 20,000 American troops would continue to handle the counterinsurgency mission “for a time,” he said NATO should consider deploying troops to Afghanistan’s eastern border region, where much of the fighting is occurring.

    He added, “Over time, it would be nice if NATO developed counterterrorism capabilities, which don’t exist at the present time.”

    Well, now would certainly seem an opportune time for NATO to begin building cooperative counterterrorism units and methodologies, and Afghanistan certainly seems the best available testing ground. That is, unless we’re still clutching the fear that the Red Horde is going to come storming through the Fulda Gap.

    The Pentagon would like to draw down the presence of American troops, who have come under increasing attack from insurgents since the spring.

    Germany’s defense minister, Peter Struck, said on German radio and television that merging NATO’s peacekeeping mission with the American combat operation would fundamentally change NATO’s role in Afghanistan and “would make the situation for our soldiers doubly dangerous and worsen the current climate in Afghanistan.”

    Yes, Mr. Struck, putting troops into combat would increase the danger that they face, but thank you, sir, as it’s truly crucial that the obvious be stated costumed as enlightening. Now, if only you would elaborate on how sharing a role in a mission already taking place would change Afghanistan’s climate, then maybe you would actually be saying something of value.

    Britain, too, is reluctant to merge the two missions. John Reid, the British defense secretary, supported a “synergy” in which the missions would complement each other. A British defense official said the real issue was “about NATO’s long-term role and how it can adapt to the needs of the 21st century and the new threats.”

    France, which has special forces soldiers working alongside U.S. troops in Afghanistan, said Tuesday that it opposed merging the two missions.

    A French Defense Ministry official, who like the British official insisted on anonymity because of the delicacy of the discussions, said “the two missions were completely different.”

    He added: “If you suddenly merge special forces or heavy counterterrorism units with stabilizing forces, which is NATO’s role in Afghanistan, then you completely undermine NATO’s role.”

    One issue with both the British and French statement’s here — a merger of the two missions is not actually being proposed with the exception of the very top level of command, as we’ll soon see. The mingling of stabilization and counterterror forces is not being proposed.

    NATO took command of the International Security Assistance Force in August 2003, the first time that the U.S.-led military alliance took on a mission away from its traditional base of Europe. Its primary role has been to maintain security, expand the authority of President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan outside the capital of Kabul and assist in the reconstruction of the country.

    Meanwhile, American troops have maintained a separate operation with 20,000 troops aimed mainly at defeating Al Qaeda and Taliban insurgents, chiefly in the south and east of the country.

    With NATO’s mandate scheduled to expire next spring, American officials are urging the alliance to expand its role, in part because of the urge to reduce the U.S. troop presence.

    At least initially, Rumsfeld told reporters traveling with him, NATO would not replace American troops in a combat role, but handle security and other noncombat duties, as it does elsewhere in the country. Then he added that he hoped NATO would develop counterterrorism capabilities similar to the Americans’.

    A senior Defense Department official declined to provide the Americans’ preferred timetable for NATO to take over the Afghan operation. But this week’s meetings in Berlin are aimed at overcoming resistance about taking on a combat role in Afghanistan.

    American military officials say they envision a joint NATO command structure in which countries willing to contribute troops to the counterinsurgency mission would be under one commander, while allies that prefer to continue to conduct peacekeeping and other noncombat roles would fall under a separate officer.

    This is not allies expressing differences; rather, this is mere quibbling to cover a fear of potentially entering counterterror operations. While one could argue that a unified command structure in the theater simply makes sense in the coordination of efforts, I would be quite willing for the U.S. to give in this area. However, I think the true issue is not this small protestation but rather the reluctance to actually play an offensive role in the Afghanistan arena.

    Both operations would fall under a single NATO commander in charge of all operations in Afghanistan, the officials said.

    Officials of several NATO countries said they assumed that the United States would want an American in that role.

    Judging by the current political leadership of NATO countries, I certainly wouldn’t want a French or German in that role. As I said, I would be willing, albeit reluctantly as I feel it makes sense, give up the unified command concept. Also, I would happily accept a non-American commander take the reins, depending upon the commander and the political backing (read spine) of his countrymen.

    German Defense Ministry officials said Struck’s comments had nothing to do with Germany’s federal election that takes place on Sunday. The radical Left Party of former East German Communists and former members of Chancellor Gerhard Schröder’s Social Democratic Party have called for the withdrawal of all German troops from Afghanistan and other countries. Germany has 1,816 soldiers in Afghanistan.

    Struck’s position was clear. “NATO is not equipped for counterterrorism operations” he said. “That is not what it is supposed to do.”

    No, counterterrorism was not the original envisionment of NATO. It was formed as a Cold War alliance, a counterweight to the threat from the Soviet Union and its satellites. Should the alliance continue to serve any purpose, however, it must recognize today’s actual threat — the radical Islamist expansionism that is clear to see around the globe. For the foreseeable future, that most assuredly exclusively means counterterrorism efforts, as the jihadists are not in a position to form up as a replacement to the Warsaw Pact forces. If the nations of NATO refuse to face this danger in its current state, I see little need for it to continue as a military alliance. It can be reformed in a number of decades out of the nations that haven’t rotted from within from their already troublesome pockets of Islamist immigrants when there actually is a horde to be faced at the border. Alas! I doubt that enemy will bring the rational behaviour that often seemed to keep the Soviets in check.

  • More on the Sino-Russian Wargames

    On the eve of this week’s massive joint military exercise by Asian rivals Russia and China, I blogged the following:

    Terrorism is not the target of strategic bombers, not yet anyway. Nor is it the target of submarines and amphibious landings. The same goes for extremism. That leaves separatism, read Tiawan.

    […]

    The Chinese ambitions on Taiwan are obvious and its build-up is transparent. The values of this exercise toward their ambitions are clear: bombers hoping to threaten the American assets, subs meant to hold off the U.S. Navy, and amphibious and airborne troops training to seize Taiwan.

    What dogs do the Russians have in this hunt? Simply a paying customer.

    Now, as the games progress, it seems that analysts and sources have reached the same conclusions about the true agendas behind the exercise.

    All this, codenamed Peace Mission 2005, is supposed to be an anti-terrorist exercise.

    China’s first proposed location, the coast of Fujian province facing Taiwan, would have made its main interest a little clearer. The Russians, anxious not to be dragged into a war over the island republic, wanted the war games on the border of landlocked Xinjiang, in China’s north-west.

    Shandong, the compromise, is closer to China’s objective. A Russian military source, quoted by the Japanese news agency Kyodo, said: “This scenario envisages blitzing into Taiwan’s nerve centres while enforcing naval blockades for containing the US military’s intervention.”

    Wu Min-chieh, a writer for Hong Kong’s Communist Party-linked newspaper Wen Wei Po, said the exercises had multiple objectives — showing off the level of military co-operation between China and Russia; demonstrating the ability to intervene in Korea, just across the Yellow Sea; and deterring independence forces in Taiwan.

    Other analysts see it as continuing pressure by the two powers to force the US out of its military presence in central Asia as part of the Afghanistan invention since 2001, especially following Uzbekistan’s recent order for the US to quit an air base.

    […]

    The exercise is also a chance to show some of the weapons [Russia] hopes to sell to the Chinese, including the Tu-22 bomber, aerial tankers, and airborne radar planes.

    I also wrote that Russia intended the exercise as a dog-and-pony show for its soft underbelly exposed to Islamist terror. This lengthy critique of the Russian motivations for the exercises agrees with concern about the southern border but concludes that Russia is looking at it wrongly.

    Analysts said the maneuvers with China were also meant to send a warning to Washington, blamed by Moscow for backing peaceful pro-Western revolutions in former states once controlled by Moscow. The Kremlin denies the suggestion.

    “As far as Russia is concerned, the joint games were intended to demonstrate to the United States that Moscow has a powerful ally,” independent analyst Pavel Felgengauer said.

    Peaceful revolutions have already ousted governments in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. Moscow fears they could spread and further erode its influence in a region where it was once master.

    The hardline Uzbek government is under Western pressure after its troops killed over 500 people in the city of Andizhan in May. And Kazakhstan faces possible turbulence with presidential polls in December.

    Critics say the military exercises match the instincts of a backward-looking military that does not want to reform or change its traditional, and cheaper, reliance on a conscript army.

    “As long as you have a big potential foe, you have good reason to justify delaying reforms,” Golts said.

    Post-Soviet history shows that Russia’s main threat now comes from regional conflicts, such as the 10-year rebellion in Chechyna that remains unresolved.

    “Nothing answers less the need to meet modern security challenges than a massive draft army,” said Golts.

    Both are interesting examinations of an unprecedented and provacative exercise. As the first story points out, the U.S. military is “very interested” in the proceedings.

  • 40 Suspected Rebels Killed in Afghanistan

    It’s been quite bloody in Afghanistan lately, and that bloodshed has been largely one-sided.

    U.S. and Afghan troops killed at least 40 suspected rebels in an offensive targeting militants who ambushed Navy SEAL commandos and shot down a special-forces helicopter — the deadliest attacks on American forces in Afghanistan, U.S. officials said Monday.

    The military declared the weeklong operation in lawless Kunar province near Pakistan a success, following the spate of insurgent attacks that already has made 2005 the bloodiest year for American forces in the country since the Taliban’s ouster.

    This year alone, 66 American service members have been killed — more than a third of the 187 who have died in and around Afghanistan since 2001. Four were slain Sunday when a massive roadside bomb blew up an under armored Humvee.

    The number of U.S. casualties is a fraction of those suffered in Iraq, yet the barrage of near-daily ambushes, bombings and execution-style killings here has raised fears that almost four years of nation-building is under threat.

    Most of the recent fatalities have occurred during coalition operations aimed at preventing militants from subverting crucial legislative elections Sept. 18, seen as Afghanistan’s next step toward democracy after more than two decades of war and civil strife.

    Well, that story, on its face the reporting of a successful series of offensive operations, quickly turned to a rather negative tone.

    Never one to be outdone in its negativity, the New York Times devotes an entire piece to the American losses for the year to date in Afghanistan.

    This year is already the deadliest for American soldiers in Afghanistan since the war of 2001, and the violence is likely to intensify before the nation’s legislative elections on Sept. 18.

    Feel free to read the rest. As is the norm when the Times covers the American military, anti-depressants are optional.

    This brings to mind a recent point by Paul Mirengoff over at Power Line.

    Have you ever read a history of war that focused almost entirely on casualty figures (with an occasional torture story and grieving parent thrown in), to the exclusion of any real discussion of tactics, operations, and actual battles? I haven’t. But that’s what our self-proclaimed “rough drafters” of history are serving up with respect to Iraq.

    So true. The first filters of the history of the day are, in my opinion, doing a great disservice to the public. The typical American is receiving no information about the overall competence and professionalism of our troops. Little is said of what life is like for our boots on the ground, their successes and sacrifices (unless they die, that is).

    Should the U.S. fail in its endeavors in Iraq and Afghanistan, it will not be because the mission could not be successfully accomplished. It will not be because the American fighting soldier was not able to attain victory after victory. Rather, it will be because the American public’s willingness to sustain the effort will have been sapped by the near-constant bleakness in the media and the harping of the far left. Should we fail, however, expect a rousing chorus of “we told you so” from these entities instead of the apology to the public and our future generations for the defeat, a defeat to which they will have contributed to as much or more than the terrorists our forces face in the field.

  • China, Russia: Would You Like to Play a Game?

    Despite their shared communist histories, long time antagonists China and Russia are about to launch their first-ever coordinated military exercise. And it certainly is a doozie, as are its ramifications.

    China, Russia join forces for war games

    When China and Russia launch their first joint military exercise tomorrow, their neighbours will be wondering why long-range strategic bombers and amphibious landing craft are being deployed in what is supposed to be an anti-terrorism drill.

    The two countries are calling it Peace Mission 2005, but it looks more like a rehearsal for full-scale war. The 10,000 Russian and Chinese soldiers will be practising a variety of standard combat techniques: long-range bombing runs, cruise-missile attacks, a naval assault on a coastal beachhead and a parachute landing by paratroopers.

    It’s the first time the two nations have conducted a joint military exercise, and their neighbours — including the United States, Japan and Taiwan — will be watching with some trepidation. There are growing concerns that Beijing and Moscow are forging a military alliance that could shift the global balance of power in an unpredictable new direction.

    According to the official Chinese news agency Xinhua, the joint exercise “will help strengthen the capability of the two armed forces in jointly striking international terrorism, extremism and separatism.” But with its strategic bombers and submarines, the exercise seems to go far beyond the needs of a mere anti-terrorism action.

    Terrorism is not the target of strategic bombers, not yet anyway. Nor is it the target of submarines and amphibious landings. The same goes for extremism. That leaves separatism, read Tiawan.

    Chinese war games leave US unfazed

    The Bush administration has described a planned joint Chinese-Russian military exercise in the Yellow Sea north of Taiwan as one that could advance the “mutual goal of regional stability” in East Asia, despite some reports that paint the exercise as being eerily similar to a rehearsal for a joint invasion of Taiwan.

    Trust me, these exercises are most assuredly not being viewed in terms of their value towards regional stability.

    The Chinese ambitions on Taiwan are obvious and its build-up is transparent. The values of this exercise toward their ambitions are clear: bombers hoping to threaten the American assets, subs meant to hold off the U.S. Navy, and amphibious and airborne troops training to seize Taiwan.

    What dogs do the Russians have in this hunt? Simply a paying customer. That, and a possibly effective dog-and-pony show.

    Russia, China open first joint military exercises

    The first-ever joint military exercises between the giant neighbours, who share a 4,300-km (2,700-mile) border, also present a commercial opportunity for Russia, China’s biggest supplier of arms and weapons technology, to flog its wares, analysts say.

    “The main target is the United States. Both sides want to improve their position for bargaining in terms of security, politics and economics,” said Jin Canrong, a professor of international relations at the People’s University of China.

    Both countries say “Peace Mission 2005,” which involves 10,000 troops and army, navy and air force exercises, is aimed at building ties between their militaries and analysts say it is not targeted at any third country.

    Okay, I’ll give the Russkies some credit. The efficiency of their weaponry has two targets: their customer in China and those radical Islamists spread all along the soft underbelly of Mother Russia.

    For just another game, this one is pretty damn serious.